Does Oregon HAVE TO go 11-1 to make the Playoff? Odds market says no.
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Oregon has a tough schedule in 2023. They play Georgia, Ohio State, UCLA, and USC.
Oregon needs to go 11-1 to make the College Football Playoff, right? Not necessarily, according to the odds market.
As of July 17, 2023, DraftKings Sportsbook has Oregon as a -160 favorite to make the Playoff. That means there's a 61.5% chance that the Ducks will qualify for the four-team playoff.
An 11-1 record would certainly help Oregon's chances of making the Playoff. However, it's not a requirement. The Ducks could still qualify for the Playoff with a 10-2 record, or even a 9-3 record, if they have a strong enough strength of schedule and win their conference championship game.
Factors that will affect Oregon making the Playoff
- Schedule strength
- Head-to-head results
- Conference championship game results
- Overall record
- Strength of wins and losses
- Injuries
- Luck
Oregon's schedule in 2023
Oregon's schedule in 2023 is one of the toughest in the country. The Ducks play Georgia, Ohio State, UCLA, and USC.
Oregon's non-conference schedule is challenging, but it's also very favorable. The Ducks open the season at home against Eastern Washington, and then they play at Ohio State in Week 2.
Oregon's conference schedule is also tough. The Ducks play at UCLA in Week 5, and they play at USC in Week 11.
Oregon's chances of making the Playoff
Oregon's chances of making the Playoff are good, but they're not guaranteed. The Ducks need to have a strong regular season and win their conference championship game.
If Oregon can do that, they will have a good chance of making the Playoff, even if they don't go 11-1.
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